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NIFC Releases Seasonal Wildfire Outlook

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Predictions extend from March through June

The National Interagency Fire Center (NIFC) recently released its seasonal wildfire outlook with predictions and analysis for all regions across the United States.

The latest National Significant Wildland Fire Potential Outlook provided cumulative predictive forecasts for the U.S. in the months of March, April, May and June.

One of the benefits of fighting wildland fire. Up close and personal views! Photo Credits: NIFC EA employee

Posted by National Interagency Fire Center on Tuesday, March 8, 2016


April outlook

According to the NIFC, significant wildfire potential will be at normal levels for the majority of the U.S. in April.

Exceptions to this are the northern Mississippi Valley and Great Lakes states, which will have above normal wildfire potential due to increasing dryness. Additionally, conditions in the Hawaiian Islands and south central Alaska will also raise fire potential to above average levels in those two regions.

The central Gulf region and areas along the Atlantic coast will have below average wildfire potential in April.

May & June outlook

In the final two months of the analysis, May and June, fire risk will increase in the following regions: the Southwest, Tennessee, Kentucky, Hawaii and Alaska.

The risk of significant wildfire will remain low in the Mid-Atlantic and Atlantic coast regions, the NIFC noted.


California, which has been enduring a severe drought for most of the past four years, notably had average wildfire risk for the duration of the outlook. The NIFC listed both Southern California and Northern California as having “normal significant wildland fire potential” through June.

Matt Mills has been involved in various aspects of online media, both on the editorial side and on the technology side, for more than 16 years. He holds a Master's Degree in Journalism from Northwestern University's Medill School of Journalism, and is currently involved in multiple projects focused on innovation journalism.

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